Published by: CGV Research Authors: Shigeru & Cynic Today, prediction markets are evolving from a "fringe financial experiment" into a foundational layer of information, capital, and decision-making systems. In 2024–2025, the market witnessed the breakout of platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi; looking ahead to 2026, what the market may face is the systemic evolution of prediction markets as a new form of information infrastructure.Based on continuous research over the past two years...

Published by: CGV Research Authors: Shigeru & Cynic Beyond the cheers and roars in the stadium, another invisible contest has long begun. It's not on the field, but in the market - betting, trading, price fluctuations, converging the judgments and emotions of millions worldwide. However, traditional sports betting is facing a crisis of trust: odds are set by bookmakers, rules are opaque, and match-fixing and corruption are frequent. Prediction markets are reconstructing the logic of sports...

Published by: CGV Research Authors: Shigeru & Cynic In the age of information overload, we're flooded daily with countless pieces of "seemingly important" news. But the real question is - which ones are true? Which ones deserve trust? Journalism once served as the central node of social trust, but it's now mired in the swamp of attention: algorithmic feeds let emotion trump reason, and clicks overshadow truth. Fact-checking sites race to keep up, while AI-generated fake news spreads by the...